Why I'm still a UFO skeptic
The concept of secret information so important to national security that it must be hidden away for multiple generations, in a democracy, is the biggest coup against democracy.
I suspect your skepticism is correct. 63 years ago it was the same story: "The unknown objects are operating under intelligent control...I know that neither Russia nor this country had anything even approaching such high speeds and maneuvers," said former CIA Director R.H. Hillenkoetter in 1960, demanding a congressional investigation. Someone would have leaked something more substantive in the ensuing years, as with other topics.
1) If the Earth was just a little bigger, we would not be able to escape the gravitational pull with the technology available to us now. Check out the Tsiolkovsky rocket equation. That's why ~90-95% of the mass of a rocket is just fuel - you need that much just to get off the Earth.
No one is coming here to steal our water or anything else, for that matter. Water is abundant in the solar system - it would require far less energy to get it from Enceladus or Europa, for instance. The asteroid belt is full of just about anything you could want to mine.
2) most of the "evidence" I have seen is obvious camera lens flare, the shape of which changes with the shape of the camera's iris. You'll note that the UFOs that look like triangles were shot with a camera that used a triangular iris, for instance.
3) the rest of the evidence I have seen is pretty easily explained by parallax shifts.
Ther are too many assumptions on all sides (yours included, and there are more than two!) of this debate and there is certainly more than one debate surrounding UAPUFO (UFOUAP?) issues ;-). So as you so clearly point out the paramount first principles issue is transparency. But that is not a useful tool for those wishing to remain in control of a narrative.
I really appreciate your thoughtful analysis as always, Ken. I also don’t want to join what I’m sure is an oncoming brigade of UFO-nuts who are going to spam your comments section to hell (I hope that does not happen). I’m curious though, do you think all of these reported cases are Russian/Chinese/some other superpower’s technology, and that none of the classified or unclassified info represents some kind of actual alien phenomenon? Maybe the answer is obviously no, but I was just curious about how credulous you are about the claim that at least a portion of these cases represent alien phenomena
Faster than light travel is not needed. Time slows way down near light speed. This is from Einstein’s Relativity. ETs from 100-1000+ light years away, could still reach us in 1 lifetime, just with conventional travel near speed of light. They would not be traveling faster than light speed to an outside observer, however much less time will pass, for those aboard a spaceship.